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ѹ 25 áҤ 2555 01:00
.ح èԵԭ
.ح èԵԭ

觤֡ Fiscal Cliff ͧѰ

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鹻 2012 ѹش·ҵáŴ֧ʴԡСҤѰͧѰŧ

ѹ觼šзµçѵҡâµǷҧɰԨ ֧ѵҡҧҹͧѰ͹ѧ鹵ҧ 㹪ǧҹ   繹º¡äѧѧǴ͹ѺʹҧҡѧҡиҹҤáҧѰ .ູ ѹ ͧѧǨ觼ŵ͡ÿ鹵ǢͧɰԨѰҧҡ ҡûҳشͧӹѡҳҤͧѰ ҵááäѧŧ鹻չ ҹ¨觼ŤҡâҴ㹪ǧ 10 յŴŧ 2 ʹҹ дҹзâҴŴŧ 2.3 ʹҹ
 

Ӷʹ ҡҵááеɰԨҹäѧͧ١ʹ͡ԧ 觼ҧõͨմվ֧ѵҡҧҹѰ ͹蹢;ٴ֧˹ҷͧº¡äѧ 㹷ҧɮի 3 С ѧ

 
Сá º¡äѧͧԹѡɳзͶ֧·ش ѵǹҧ˹ͧȵͨմվյͧ Ŵŧ ԩй ˹͡ٹ ŴͧԹҷع ѹŴŧͧԭԺ⵷ҧɰԨ ҳ˹ҧ㹷ش  㹡óբͧѰ ѵǹ˹ͨմվ㹪ǧ 3 շҹդ 9 ͧմվ Ŵŧ͹Ҥѹҡ÷ɰԨ 鹵 ҧá ӹѡҳҤͧѰҴó ҡº´ҹäѧѰѧ͹ѧѨغѹ âҴŧҳ㹻 2017 ɰԨТµ§ 5 ͨմվ ШТ٧ҡѵҴѧѧҡҹ ֧˹ҷͧҧѰͧèѴʶҹСäѧʶҾ
 

С÷ͧ º¡äѧҧѰԹõͧ仢Ѵҧÿ鹵ǢͧɰԨѰ 㹢й ͹顮Ѱ㹵͹ ҡաº鹻չ ҡóäѧͺ˹Ҽ Fiscal Cliff غѵԢ ѹСͺ
 

˹ ŧͧҵáŴշ͡»иҹҸԺ ت ͧ ŧѺü͹ù 2 纨ҡͧԹ͹ شͧŵͺ᷹ʴԡ÷Ѻҧҹ ش õѴŴҳ Ф㹷ѹյ·к ҡҤͧöԹúçҳ 褳Сͧ 2 Super committee º¡äѧʶҾСԺɰԨ鹵ҧͧԹǺѹ ¡ûͧѹ Fiscal Cliff ԴɰԨöԹͧҧٺ й蹡зԴʶҾҧäѧ 㹷ҧѺѹ 蹢ͧҴҨԴʶҾҧäѧǡ觼ѵҴ͡ŴŧѹԺⵢͧ ɰԨ´蹡ѹ
 

駹 ´ͧŤҡâҴŧҳҤѰʴѧٻ 㹪ǧ 3 յͨҡɰԨѰѧҨ㹪ǧͧÿ鹵 âҴҤѰ褧ͪ¡еɰԨҡ顮´ѧԴҡó쵡ͺ˹ҼҷҧäѧͧѰҧ 2.1-3.3 ͨմվҧ ֧çդ繷ᵡҧҡ ѡɰʵ 2 ҴͧͧҹʧҡâҴŷҧäѧ͡ԭԺ⵷ҧɰԨ
 

áҡҴšäѧҤѰ 1 觼ŵ͡Ժⵢͧմվ 0.32 0.4 ǹͧѺͧҡҴšäѧҤѰ 1 觼ŵ͡Ժⵢͧմվ 1.05 1.55 蹤 ҡó Fiscal Cliff ͧѰ㹻˹ ҡԴ 觼մվѰŴŧҧ 0.65-2.2 Ŵŧ 0.84-5 駹 ҡͧǹǢͧ¹ šзҨԴ鹵ɰԨѰҧ 2-3.5 ҧҨ ҡͧ Okun Okun's Law ǤԴ˹觷Ԫɰʵ㹡ͧҧҹ ŴŧͧɰԨ觼ŵѵҡҧҹͧѰ鹡һѨغѹ֧ 1-2 ҧ·
 

С÷  ҡҧѰö͡Ẻº¡äѧդʶҾ 觼ŵç٧㹡÷ӧҹСͧЪҪ ֧աŧع㹡ӹҭͧçҹСԨоѲ աѧҧҸóٻ鹾鹰ҹ͡þѲɰԨ
 

ش ҡԨóҨҡ§ͧ 2 ä㹡êԧ˹觻иҹҸԺѰ ͺ͡ҹҨա顮ҧ㹺ҧҵ٧ͧ˹ҼҡäѧѧŴŧ ¾äõ鹨աѺ٧ öҡ§ ͧʹ㹪ǧش¡͹ѹ͡駻иҹҸԺѰѺ

 
˵ ¹ԭҹҹҹԴ˹ѧͧ¹ ѹء 27 áҤ 2555 14.30 . ͧش ҤõҴѡѾ觻 Դ´ www.facebook.com/MacroView Ѻ

 

 

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